Why Alberta oilsands productions have halted in 2009
Alberta oilsands projects have halted in 2009
The global financial crisis and the drop in oil prices to below $40 US per barrel has served a double whammy to the Alberta oil sands companies. Not only is the price of US $40 oil not as profitable for the Alberta oilsands companies but the global financial crisis is also reducing the available money for these companies to hire more labour and produce more oil. So falling commodity prices and weak credit markets make for a strong reason why Alberta oilsands projects have halted in 2009. The effects of the global financial crisis can also be seen in weaker demand for oil as more and more people are saving money in uncertain times. Less vacations means less Alberta oilsands development as well. The big Alberta oilsands companies such as Suncor, BA Energy and Husky energy will all see very weak 4th quarter 2008 earnings and this will dictate their strategy for 2009. We have already seen more than 10 billion of oilsands production halted and more announcements are expected to come.
Alberta oilsands companies cutting dividends
Alberta oilsands companies such as Suncor have cut their regular dividend payment to their shareholders. Suncor, one of the large Alberta oilsands companies, pays quarterly dividends to its shareholders. Investors have relied on the steady and safe return provided by companies such as Suncor who pay their dividends on a regular basis. This has been the main reason why people invest in oil sands trust which is mandated by their shareholder agreement to pay a specified amount of its income as dividends or automatic reinvestment shares. However as hard times have hit the global financial markets and the banks have stopped lending and cut credit, Alberta oilsands companies such as Suncor have had to take measures to conserve their cash. Conservative measures taken now rather than when the cash reserves run out is what Alberta oilsand companies are planning on as they try to survive the financial crisis. Will cutting dividends in the short term help these Alberta oilsands companies? Yes and No maybe the answer because if the financial crisis is short then we can expect the cash reserves to be improved soon. But if the financial crisis lasts for a few years then we can expect some bankruptcies to occur as cash strapped companies must close their doors.
Turn around time for Alberta oilsands projects
When will the turn around be for the Alberta oilsands projects. One year, two years or more is the question investors are demanding when they plan their investments in the Alberta oilsands. While the big Alberta oilsands projects have been postponed and not cancelled, the smaller Alberta oilsands projects have been cancelled. The big companies such as Suncor can wait out a slow period of growth by holding off for a year or more. In times of slow growth or negative growth we can expect some consolidation in the industry. The turn around time for the Alberta oilsands projects is expected to be 24 months. This coincides with the end of 2010 and when the global financial crisis is expected to improve and credit will once again be normal. We can expect Alberta oilsands projects to be announced again before the credit fully turns around. Maybe in early 2010 we will expect the activity in Alberta oilsands to be robust and more projects announced to be started.
Labels: $40 US per barrel oil, Alberta Oilsands companies, BA Energy, Global financial crisis, Husky Energy, Oilsands Trusts, Suncor



